Vale SA Valuation

VALE Stock  USD 16.65  0.39  2.29%   
At this time, the company appears to be fairly valued. Vale SA ADR has a current Real Value of $17.18 per share. The regular price of the company is $16.65. Our model measures the value of Vale SA ADR from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 4.27 B, return on equity of 0.13, and Operating Margin of 0.32 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Vale SA's valuation include:
Price Book
1.7319
Enterprise Value
85.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.7201
Price Sales
1.8508
Forward PE
8.1301
Fairly Valued
Today
16.65
Please note that Vale SA's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Vale SA ADR is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Vale SA's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Vale stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Vale SA ADR. Since Vale SA is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vale Stock. However, Vale SA's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.65 Real  17.18 Target  16.01 Hype  16.86
The real value of Vale Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Vale SA ADR Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Vale SA's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Vale SA's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
17.18
Real Value
19.63
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vale SA ADR helps investors to forecast how Vale stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vale SA more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vale SA's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.450.560.64
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.4116.8619.31
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.5716.0117.77
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Vale SA's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Vale SA's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Vale SA's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Vale SA we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Vale SA Cash

5.28 Billion

Vale SA Total Value Analysis

Vale SA ADR is at this time expected to have valuation of 85.45 B with market capitalization of 72.74 B, debt of 17.74 B, and cash on hands of 28.61 B. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Vale SA fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
85.45 B
72.74 B
17.74 B
28.61 B

Vale SA Investor Information

About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.73. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vale SA ADR last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 13th of September 2007. Based on the key measurements obtained from Vale SA's financial statements, Vale SA ADR is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate likelihood of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities11.7 B10.8 B
Significantly Up
Very volatile

Vale SA Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Vale SA has an asset utilization ratio of 47.42 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.47 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Vale SA ADR is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Vale SA Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Vale SA's financial statements, Vale SA ADR is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Vale SA's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2000-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.1 B
Current Value
2.7 B
Quarterly Volatility
2.5 B
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, Vale SA's Operating Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.23, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 15.8 B.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.50.42
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
For Vale SA profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Vale SA ADR to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Vale SA utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Vale SA's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Vale SA over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Vale SA Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Vale SA is estimated to be 0.560475 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.45 to a high of 0.6425. Vale SA's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.29. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Vale SA ADR is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Embargo
 
Inflation
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Vale SA is projected to generate 0.560475 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Vale SA earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Vale SA EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Vale SA's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Vale SA, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Vale SA Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Vale SA's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Vale SA is estimated to be 0.560475 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.45 to a high of 0.6425. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Vale SA ADR is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.45
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.560475
0.64
Highest

Vale SA Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Vale SA's value are higher than the current market price of the Vale SA stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Vale SA is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Vale SA's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2452.62%
0.0
0.560475
1.29

Vale SA Ownership Allocation

Vale SA ADR shows a total of 4.27 Billion outstanding shares. About 79.33 % of Vale SA outstanding shares are held by general public with 0.01 (%) owned by insiders and only 20.66 % by institutional holders. On July 29, 2020, Representative John Rutherford of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Vale SA ADR's common stock.

Vale SA Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 38.06 B. Net Income was 5.86 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 74.25 B.

Vale SA Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Vale SA's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Vale SA and how it compares across the competition.

About Vale SA Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Vale SA's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Vale SA. We calculate exposure to Vale SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Vale SA's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit15.9 B15.8 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.20  0.26 
Operating Profit Margin 0.33  0.34 
Net Profit Margin 0.19  0.23 
Gross Profit Margin 0.42  0.50 
Vale SA's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Vale SA's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Vale SA can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Vale SA represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Vale, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Vale SA Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At present, Vale SA's Dividend Payout Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is expected to grow to 1.51, whereas Dividends Paid is projected to grow to (4.2 B). . At present, Vale SA's Earnings Yield is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-4.4 B-4.2 B
Dividend Yield 0.08  0.08 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.49  0.74 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.04  1.51 
There are various types of dividends Vale SA can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Vale shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Vale SA ADR directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Vale pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Vale SA by the value of the dividends paid out.

Vale SA Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Vale SA does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.3 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.091
Forward Price Earnings8.1301

Vale SA Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Vale SA ADR and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Vale we look at many different elements of the entity such as Vale's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Vale SA, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Vale SA's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Vale SA's worth.

Complementary Tools for Vale Stock analysis

When running Vale SA's price analysis, check to measure Vale SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vale SA is operating at the current time. Most of Vale SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vale SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vale SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vale SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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